XRP Price Prediction: Will XRP Hit $3 Amid Current Market Turbulence?

#XRP

• Technical indicators show XRP trading below key moving averages with mixed momentum signals
• Market sentiment has turned negative with whale selling and holder anxiety increasing
• Reaching $3 requires overcoming significant technical resistance and sentiment challenges

XRP Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: XRP Shows Mixed Signals Amid Current Volatility

According to BTCC financial analyst Robert, XRP's current technical picture presents conflicting signals. The price of $2.12 sits below the 20-day moving average of $2.30, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, the MACD reading of -0.0165 suggests weakening downward momentum, while the Bollinger Band position NEAR the lower boundary at $2.06 may indicate potential oversold conditions.

Robert notes that 'while the technical indicators show XRP is facing headwinds, the proximity to the lower Bollinger Band could signal a potential reversal zone if buying pressure emerges.'

Market Sentiment: XRP Faces Headwinds as Whales Exit and Holders Anxiety Grows

BTCC financial analyst Robert observes that recent market sentiment for XRP has turned decidedly negative. The 14% price decline despite the ETF launch, combined with whale selling activity and shifting holder sentiment from euphoria to anxiety, creates a challenging environment.

'The NUPL signals and reports that 42% of holders face losses indicate deteriorating market confidence,' Robert states. 'This aligns with the technical analysis showing XRP struggling to maintain momentum above key support levels.'

Factors Influencing XRP's Price

XRP Slides 14% Despite ETF Launch as Whales Cash Out

XRP's price tumbled 14.9% this week despite the landmark debut of Canary Capital's XRP spot ETF on Nasdaq. The XRPC ETF recorded $58 million in first-day volume and $250 million in net inflows—the strongest opening among 900 new ETFs this year—yet failed to buoy the token above $2.15.

Analysts note a disconnect between ETF inflows and trading activity. "In-kind creations didn't reflect in volume," said Nate Geraci of NovaDius Wealth, explaining the discrepancy between reported $59 million volume and actual inflows.

The selloff accelerated as whales offloaded 200 million XRP over 48 hours, according to trader Ali Martinez. The MOVE appears preemptive—major holders liquidating positions before a broader market downturn. XRP now tests support at $2.12, down 15.3% since the ETF's Thursday launch.

XRP Long-Term Holders Shift From Euphoria to Anxiety as NUPL Signals Trouble

XRP faces mounting selling pressure as market sentiment deteriorates, with long-term holders transitioning from euphoria to anxiety. The cryptocurrency teeters near the critical $2 threshold, a level laden with psychological and structural significance. A breach below this mark could trigger a deeper correction, while a rebound would solidify it as a key demand zone.

On-chain metrics reflect the shifting mood. XRP's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for long-term holders has dipped below 0.5, signaling waning confidence. Historically, such transitions between market phases often precede major inflection points. The thinning liquidity and macroeconomic uncertainties compound the pressure on XRP's price defense.

XRP Price Prediction: 42% of Holders Face Losses as Market Sentiment Sours

Nearly half of XRP holders are underwater, with 42% having purchased NEAR the $3 mark, according to Glassnode data. These investors now face losses exceeding 40%, raising concerns about potential capitulation if market conditions worsen.

The token remains nearly 4x higher than November 2022 levels, but many buyers entered during the post-SEC rally when prices peaked. Legal victories against the SEC initially drove enthusiasm, but subsequent declines have left latecomers stranded.

Technical charts show XRP testing critical support at $1.50 after failing to maintain consolidation levels. Resistance looms at $2.50 and the $3.60 peak, with weak momentum suggesting further downside risk.

Potential salvation may come from upcoming XRP ETF launches in the U.S., which could provide institutional demand to counterbalance retail outflows. Market watchers await these products as a possible catalyst for trend reversal.

XRP Investors Face Steepest Profit Decline in a Year Amid Fragile Market Conditions

XRP holders are weathering their toughest stretch since 2024 as Glassnode data reveals only 58.5% of the supply remains profitable—the lowest level in twelve months. The altcoin's current $2.15 trading price, though quadruple its 2024 value, fails to prevent 41.25% of circulating tokens (26.5 billion XRP) from languishing below purchase prices.

Market fragility stems from late-cycle buyers who accumulated near peaks, anchoring the supply with unrealized losses. This saturation has created an unstable foundation where reluctant sellers exacerbate downward pressure. The divergence between nominal price levels and investor pain underscores deepening structural weaknesses in XRP's market architecture.

Will XRP Price Hit 3?

Based on current technical indicators and market sentiment analysis from BTCC financial analyst Robert, reaching $3 in the near term appears challenging. The current price of $2.12 requires approximately 41% appreciation to reach the $3 target.

Robert emphasizes that 'while the $3 target is achievable in a strong bull market scenario, current conditions including whale selling, negative sentiment, and technical resistance around $2.54 make this unlikely in the immediate future without significant positive catalysts.'